I tend to agree with you, Bottom roller wear usually results in the links contacting the rock guards. The idler in post #13 looks pretty poor to me, but the photo isn't really taken from close enough to be 100% sure. That's why I asked for more photos showing the rest of the undercarriage components.Bottom rollers are worn out is my guess.
No worries, unless that is you're planning to work the machine a thousand hours or so between now and taking the photos. Post the photos when you can.My dozer is about 75 miles away from me right now, so I can't get anymore pics till the weekend..