huge price for that company. question whether the value is there . . .
They'll get their money's worth in North American distribution alone.
Over time, 70% of global construction equipment sales take place in North America. To be a global player, you almost have to have significant presence here. There is an exception or two -- JCB, for instance. And the strength of the European market has temporarily elevated the profiles of some nameplates that have weak distribution here.
The challenge of North American market share is finding enough local business people with capital and expertise to represent your product. There's just not enough ROI in the equipment distribution business for a company like Doosan (or JCB, or even Volvo) to entice a lot of entrepreneurs to start new businesses to sell construction equipment. Even if they could, the manufacturer's stockholders will be streaming for the exits well before a bunch of startup dealerships gain reasonable market share.
So the name of the game -- especially here on the tail end of a peak in the construction-equipment industry's business cycle -- is to buy distrubution. Doosan just did.
I don't know how many Bobcat dealers there are in North America, but I'm guessing it's plenty. At a Bobcat dealer event last December, where they introduced their largest excavator, it was said that dealers are calling for bigger machines. Many would like to have larger excavators to offer, rather than sending existing customers looking for heavier iron down the road. Doosan's product line is probably well suited for that kind of customer.
Bobcat's name recognition doesn't hurt either. And don't forget that the $4.9B included Ingersoll Rand's utility equipment and attachments groups as well. That includes the Geith name, and Montabert/Tramac hydraulic hammers (I think).
The big question related to the big price tag is whether or not Doosan can service the debt long enough to realize the benefits of Bobcat's distribution and name. No matter what the benefits, it's still going to take a long time to make serious changes in their marketing. Almost everything in the construction equipment industry does.
I wouldn't worry about Doosan too much, though. It's a company with what looks like pretty significant market share in the global power-plant and water-desalinization plant markets. I think they have the cash flow to swing it.
Should be interesting to watch what happens to the Bobcat brand.
Just my .02
Larry
PS: Somebody at Ingersoll Rand is looking like a genious, with the incredible prices they got for the road development group and Bobcat. Shame that such a venerable name in the construction-equipment business is making its exit, though.